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med_cat: (progress notes notebook)
med_cat: (progress notes notebook)

More exciting news from WHO :(

med_cat: (progress notes notebook)

Oh lovely...  Latest news from Reuters below:
Cat


Flu death toll at 700, school closures an option-WHO

 
 
Tue Jul 21, 2009 11:51am EDT
 

* Official death toll rises to 700 from previous 429

* Up to countries to decide measures such as school closures

 

GENEVA, July 21 (Reuters) - The H1N1 virus has killed more than 700 people worldwide since emerging in April, and countries could consider closing schools to slow its spread, the World Health Organisation (WHO) said on Tuesday.

The WHO, whose previous death toll was 429 two weeks ago, also said it was up to national health authorities to decide what measures they impose to slow the spread of the new strain.

British researchers writing in the journal Lancet Infectious Diseases said on Monday that governments needed to draft plans for when and how to close schools if the swine flu pandemic worsens.

"School closure is one of the mitigation measures that could be considered by countries," WHO spokeswoman Alphaluck Bhatiasevi told a news briefing.

"As WHO has been saying, different countries would be facing the pandemic at different levels at different times. So it is really up to countries to consider what mitigation measures suit them in regard to the situation in individual countries."

The U.N. agency, which declared an H1N1 influenza pandemic on June 11, said last week it was the fastest-moving pandemic ever and now pointless to count every case.

It told countries to stop reporting individual cases and concentrate on mitigation measures and detecting any unusual patterns of disease or spike in rates of absenteeism.

Some 125,000 laboratory-confirmed cases have been reported worldwide as of Tuesday, Bhatiasevi told Reuters.

A network of independent experts is doing mathematical modelling studies to project what kind of cost-effective and beneficial mitigation measures countries can implement, according to the spokeswoman.

The WHO is coordinating the group, composed of mathematicians, epidemiologists and virologists, she said.

The new flu strain can be treated by antivirals such as Roche Holding's Tamiflu or GlaxoSmithKline's Relenza, but many patients recover without medical treatment.

Flu experts say at least 1 million people are infected in the United States alone. (Reporting by Stephanie Nebehay)

 

Comments

Jul. 21st, 2009 01:19 pm (UTC)
That doesn't give me the statistic I need to know whether or not to panic, which is "does this flu kill the same people as the usual flu, or are we looking at a different pattern?"

And I want to know if China's very aggressive measures have made a difference...

Gonna be an interesting fall.
med_cat: (progress notes notebook)
Jul. 21st, 2009 01:35 pm (UTC)
Do not panic...yet. ;) So far, the death rate from this H1N1 strain is comparable to the death rate from seasonal flu. However, what is worrisome is that the outbreak has _not_ died off during the summer...and you know what happened in 1918. I very much hope we're not in for a repeat of _that_. Antiviral drugs are of very limited use for flu.
Jul. 21st, 2009 02:06 pm (UTC)
*nod* There's a part of me that says "why not let this early, mild version spread as far as possible so that more people have some immunity to the later version" but I can see the devil and the deep blue sea side of that argument all too well.
med_cat: (Default)
Jul. 21st, 2009 03:00 pm (UTC)
And the mild flu spread in 1918 didn't mitigate the severity of the later strain a few months later...we shall see.
Jul. 21st, 2009 03:08 pm (UTC)
They've been very hush-hush about it in Arkansas. We had a church from our town that sent a mission trip to Colorado, and several of the teens on the trip came back with verified cases of swine flu. These are friends of my middlest daughter, and they were quarantined at their homes for a good long while. But this was never reported in the local or state papers, and the Health Department still denies there were any cases in the state.

I'm with rabidsamfan; I wonder if this mild version is so dangerous and if it might not leave some immunity, plus I've wondered if it's really worth getting upset over. But I can see that it's still very very early, and the fact that it hasn't died out over the summer is odd.

Thanks for keeping us updated!
med_cat: (progress notes notebook)
Jul. 21st, 2009 03:55 pm (UTC)
Well, I'm doing a manual on infection control...so "bugs" are very much on my mind :)

Stay tuned for further updates!

Cheers,
Cat